Every Last Joule · Region record

Russia (European grid)

Provenance, tier, and validation record for russia-mainland. No live curtailment figures on this page — those are on the globe.

Region id: russia-mainland
Country: RUS
Waste modality: Hydro
Coordinates: 55.80° N, 38.00° E

Estimated Data quality

Tier

estimated · T3-modelled

No live feed and no published total for this region. A typical-shape profile is scaled to a capacity-based or literature anchor.

Modelled profile, scaled to annual (±40%)

Uncertainty

±40% of peak GW

Published envelope for this tier. See the uncertainty model.

Source provenance

modelled-fallback · No verified upstream link

There is no verified upstream link. The snapshot is a typical-shape profile scaled to an anchor, or otherwise estimated.

Source

SO UES fallback

https://www.so-ups.ru/

Tier, provenance, and source are read at build time from src/lib/regions.ts — the same table the globe draws from. The validation record below is generated separately and gated against it by npm run ci:docs-drift.

Validation record

Last updated: 2026-08-20 · Sprint: S1 + HB integration · Paper section: Technical Validation §4.2

Source

Region id: russia-mainland
Country: RUS
Tier: estimated
Kind: hydro
Source: SO UES fallback
Source URL: https://www.so-ups.ru/
Loader: russia-mainland.json.ts
Structural gap: no

Calibration

Rate source documented in: docs/methodology/ (see links below)
Uniform across backfill years: n/a — no backfill

Multi-year backfill annual totals

Year	Backfill rows	Backfill annual TWh	Published TSO annual TWh	Δ %	Source
(no backfill or TSO anchors yet — will be populated after HB fan-out completes)

Published anchors

TSO annual curtailment (latest published): SO UPS no public data; structural gap
Ember annual: —
IRENA annual: —
Other: —

Discrepancy analysis

No backfill and no TSO anchor. Region relies solely on the live snapshot; nothing to triangulate against.

Known limitations

No public hourly archive accessible post-2022. SO UES (so-ups.ru) public pages do not expose unauthenticated hourly hydro-spill data, and Western sanctions plus reciprocal Russian access restrictions have foreclosed the previously available API endpoints. The loader emits a hydro-seasonal shape (HYDRO_SEASONAL_SHARES["russia-mainland"]) scaled to a ~1 TWh/yr anchor for European Russia hydro spill (primarily Volga / Kama cascades during spring melt). T3-modelled, ±40% envelope; see docs/known-limitations.md item 14 ("Russia (European grid) uses 1 TWh/yr seasonal hydro spill"). W. Siberia remains a separate flare region (Item 11) and is not reclassified here.