Every Last Joule
Every Last Joule · Region record

Rajasthan

Provenance, tier, and validation record for india-rajasthan. No live curtailment figures on this page — those are on the globe.

Region id
india-rajasthan
Country
IND
Waste modality
Solar
Coordinates
26.50° N, 73.00° E
Estimated Data quality
Tier
estimated · T3-modelled

No live feed and no published total for this region. A typical-shape profile is scaled to a capacity-based or literature anchor.

Modelled profile, scaled to annual (±40%)

Uncertainty
±40% of peak GW

Published envelope for this tier. See the uncertainty model.

Source provenance
official-lead · Official source identified, live path not producing

An authoritative source exists and the loader is wired or scaffolded, but the live path is not producing usable data — geoblocked, auth-gated, or parser pending. The emitted snapshot falls back to modelled or last-good values.

Source
CEA gen-re.cea.gov.in daily Excel × Ember India 2024 6% rate (≈6.3 TWh/yr at ~98 TWh/yr solar). Hourly shape is synthetic. RRVPNL SLDC (sldc.rajasthan.gov.in) is login-gated (HTTP 403) — not the live source. Official RRVPNL re-curtailment PDFs for Jan–May 2026 sum to 0.052 TWh, >50× below this modelled anchor (issue #964). Not a measured TSO series.

https://gen-re.cea.gov.in/

Tier, provenance, and source are read at build time from src/lib/regions.ts — the same table the globe draws from. The validation record below is generated separately and gated against it by npm run ci:docs-drift.

Validation record

Last updated: 2026-09-15 · Honesty pass on the CEA×Ember vs RRVPNL PDF gap (#964)

Source

  • Region id: india-rajasthan
  • Country: IND
  • Tier: estimated
  • Kind: solar
  • Source: CEA gen-re.cea.gov.in daily Excel × Ember India 2024 6% rate (≈6.3 TWh/yr at ~98 TWh/yr solar). Hourly shape is synthetic. RRVPNL SLDC (sldc.rajasthan.gov.in) is login-gated (HTTP 403) — not the live source. Official RRVPNL re-curtailment PDFs for Jan–May 2026 sum to 0.052 TWh, >50× below this modelled anchor (issue #964). Not a measured TSO series.
  • Source URL: https://gen-re.cea.gov.in/
  • Loader: india-rajasthan.json.ts
  • Structural gap: no
  • Methodology note: T2-annual-calibrated (generation denominator from CEA official source; curtailment rate modelled from Ember India 2024). Tier bucket stays T3 until tier-resolution.ts gains a T2-static path.
  • Source provenance: official-lead — generation denominator from CEA official daily Excel; curtailment rate modelled from Ember India 2024. The dashboard does not plot RRVPNL instruction energy.

Calibration

  • Rate source documented in: docs/methodology/ (see links below)
  • Uniform across backfill years: n/a — no backfill
  • Generation source: CEA gen-re.cea.gov.in daily Excel, State-Wise sheet, Solar Energy (MU) column
  • Curtailment rate: ~6% solar — Ember India 2024 state-level estimate
  • Formula: annual_curtailed_TWh = annual_generation_TWh × 0.06 / (1 − 0.06)
  • Ember convention: rate expressed as fraction of potential (curtailed / (generated + curtailed))

Multi-year backfill annual totals

Year Backfill rows Backfill annual TWh Published TSO annual TWh Δ % Source
(no backfill or TSO anchors yet — will be populated after HB fan-out completes)

Published anchors

  • TSO annual curtailment (latest published): —
  • Ember annual: —
  • IRENA annual: —
  • Other: —
  • TSO annual (not used in production): research extraction of RRVPNL re-curtailment PDFs — 0.052 TWh for Jan–May 2026 (0.050 solar / 0.002 wind; 75 rows, 52 manual-from-scan). Not annualised. Issue #964.
  • CEA annual generation (trailing 365 days from CSV): ~98 TWh solar (loader sourceNote)
  • Ember curtailment rate: ~6% solar (Ember India 2024)
  • Dashboard modelled curtailment: ≈6.3 TWh/yr
  • Fallback anchor (no CSV): 3.5 TWh/yr solar (older Ember-anchor, superseded 2026-08-20 when CEA CSV is present)

Bad-conversions check

# Item Verdict Reason
1 DSM / deviation values used as curtailment no Ember curtailment rate applied to CEA generation; neither figure is a deviation/scheduling settlement
2 Capacity-at-risk MW used as curtailed energy MWh no CEA data is MU (= GWh, energy), not MW (capacity)
3 Instruction percentage without a generation denominator no Ember rate applied to actual generation TWh from CEA; denominator is explicit and official
4 Blank or dash treated as zero no Missing daily rows use withFallback to prior anchor; CSV rows with no report date are simply absent, not zeroed
5 Modelled fallback labelled as verified measurement partial sourceNote states the 6.3 TWh/yr is CEA generation × Ember 6%, and that RRVPNL PDFs (0.052 TWh Jan–May 2026) are not what the dashboard plots. Region sourceUrl is now gen-re.cea.gov.in, not the SLDC portal.

Discrepancy analysis

Pending: no backfill parquet yet for this region. Once HB.1 / HB.2 land the per-year totals for this region, this section will summarise the Δ vs TSO/Ember/IRENA and flag any year exceeding ±25%.

The dashboard plots CEA generation × Ember 6%, not RRVPNL instructions. The official PDF floor for five months of 2026 is >50× below that modelled annual. Caveats on the PDF side: 52 of 75 rows are manual-from-scan; February/Nov/Dec image-only reports were OCR-reviewed as no obvious rows, not audited zeroes; the extractor uses Relief MW × duration, which may undercount if the report layout is not energy. Caveat on the dashboard side: a national/regional Ember rate is applied uniformly to Rajasthan. The 6.3 TWh/yr figure is not replaced here — changing a headline T3 anchor needs a source-verified annual, which the five-month sample is not.

Known limitations

  • The plotted 6.3 TWh/yr is modelled (CEA × Ember 6%), not RRVPNL measured curtailment. Official re-curtailment PDFs for Jan–May 2026 extract to 0.052 TWh — >50× below. That floor is not annualised and is not swapped in as the headline.
  • Curtailment rate (6%) is Ember's national/regional estimate applied uniformly to Rajasthan; actual rate varies by season (summer peak curtailment) and grid conditions
  • Hourly shape remains synthetic (typical solar profile centred on 06:30 UTC)
  • The RRVPNL SLDC portal (sldc.rajasthan.gov.in) remains login-gated / 403 from unauthenticated clients; T1a promotion is still gated on a working Indian-IP fetch of instruction energy, not on this modelled path

Current GW, 24-hour peak, 30-day TWh, and feed freshness for this region are on the globe. Cite this page as everylastjoule.com/region/india-rajasthan. The dataset has a DOI; see About.