Every Last Joule · Region record

Cyprus

Provenance, tier, and validation record for cyprus. No live curtailment figures on this page — those are on the globe.

Region id
cyprus
Country
CYP
Waste modality
Solar
Coordinates
35.00° N, 33.00° E
Estimated Data quality
Tier
estimated · T3-modelled

No live feed and no published total for this region. A typical-shape profile is scaled to a capacity-based or literature anchor.

Modelled profile, scaled to annual (±40%)

Uncertainty
±40% of peak GW

Published envelope for this tier. See the uncertainty model.

Source provenance
modelled-fallback · No verified upstream link

There is no verified upstream link. The snapshot is a typical-shape profile scaled to an anchor, or otherwise estimated.

Source
ENTSO-E A75 solar-generation shape (CY zone) × TSOC ~0.15 TWh/yr PV-curtailment anchor (inferred, 2024); no hourly curtailment series is published for Cyprus, so the magnitude stays modelled

https://transparency.entsoe.eu/generation/r2/actualGenerationPerProductionType/show?areaType=BZN&area.values=10YCY-1001A0003J

Tier, provenance, and source are read at build time from src/lib/regions.ts — the same table the globe draws from. The validation record below is generated separately and gated against it by npm run ci:docs-drift.

Validation record

Last updated: 2026-09-06 · Sprint: S1 + HB integration · Paper section: Technical Validation §4.2

Source

Calibration

  • Rate source documented in: docs/methodology/ (see links below)
  • Uniform across backfill years: n/a — no backfill

Multi-year backfill annual totals

Year Backfill rows Backfill annual TWh Published TSO annual TWh Δ % Source
(no backfill or TSO anchors yet — will be populated after HB fan-out completes)

Published anchors

  • TSO annual curtailment (latest published): TSOC 2024 PV curtailment ~0.15 TWh
  • Ember annual: —
  • IRENA annual: —
  • Other: —

Discrepancy analysis

No backfill. The hourly shape is now measured — ENTSO-E A75 actual solar generation for the Cyprus bidding zone (10YCY-1001A0003J, psrType B16), trailing 30 days — but the magnitude is still the inferred TSOC annual anchor, so there is nothing independent to triangulate the total against. Over the window ending 2026-09-06 the measured PV generation was 0.151 TWh/30d, which puts the anchor at an implied ~8% curtailment rate.

Known limitations

  • The magnitude is not measured. TSOC publishes no hourly (or annual machine-readable) curtailment series. The 0.15 TWh/yr figure is method: "inferred" in scripts/validation/external-anchors.json. The region is therefore T3-modelled with sourceProvenance: modelled-fallback, and its sourceStatus is stamped cached, never live, even on a successful ENTSO-E fetch.
  • The ENTSO-E CY solar feed is intermittently broken. Over the 12 months to 2026-09-05 the peak hour-of-day mean was 634 MW (2026-08) and 218 MW (2025-12), but collapsed to 20.5 MW (2026-02), 11.3 MW (2026-07) and 8.9 MW (2026-04) — months where ~95% of intervals report near-zero against a fleet observed at 761 MW. The loader rejects such a window (coverage, magnitude and peak-hour guards) and throws, so withFallback serves the last-good snapshot instead of a flattened shape.
  • tsoc.org.cy is not machine-reachable. It returns HTTP 403 to any non-browser client, including from a second, unrelated egress host, so the block is browser-fingerprint based rather than geographic. Its wind/solar page also carries only the current day, so it could not supply a 30-day window from a single fetch even if reachable. See docs/data-source-log.md.

See docs/methodology/historical-backfill.md §"Known limitations" for cross-cutting notes.

Current GW, 24-hour peak, 30-day TWh, and feed freshness for this region are on the globe. Cite this page as everylastjoule.com/region/cyprus. The dataset has a DOI; see About.